Is there Chaos in the World Economy? A Nonparametric Test Using Consistent Standard Errors

Is There Chaos in the World Economy? A Nonparametric Test Using Consistent Standard Errors∗

A positive Lyapunov exponent is one practical deÞnition of chaos. We develop a formal test for chaos in a noisy system based on the consistent standard errors of the nonparametric Lyapunov exponent estimators. When our procedures are applied to international real output series, the hypothesis of the positive Lyapunov exponent is signiÞcantly rejected in many cases. One possible interpretation o...

IS THERE CHAOS IN THE WORLD ECONOMY? A NONPARAMETRIC TEST USING CONSISTENT STANDARD ERRORS by

A positive Lyapunov exponent is one practical deÞnition of chaos. We develop a formal test for chaos in a noisy system based on the consistent standard errors of the nonparametric Lyapunov exponent estimators. When our procedures are applied to international real output series, the hypothesis of the positive Lyapunov exponent is signiÞcantly rejected in many cases. One possible interpretation o...

A Consistent Nonparametric Bootstrap Test of Exogeneity

We propose a way of testing exogeneity of an explanatory variable without any parametric assumptions in the presence of a conditional "instrumental variable". A testable implication is derived that if an explanatory variable is exogenous, the conditional distribution of the outcome given explanatory variables is independent of the instrumental variable. We propose a consistent nonparametric boo...

third world intellectuals in v. s. naipaul’s fiction: the mimic men, a bend in the river, magic seeds

this thesis attempts to study the representations of the third-world intellectuals in three fictional works by the british-educated trinidadian nobel-winner v. s. naipaul: the mimic men, a bend in the river, and magic seeds. the first one recounts the story of ralph singh’s sense of alienation, his experiences as a colonial politician, and his struggle to give order to his disorderly world thro...

Is there chaos in cardiology?